Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3
	1.92	4.05	3.21
	1.93	4.06	3.21
	1.97	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)	3.82 ↑ (3.52)	3.17 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
47.2%

Draw
24%

Concord Rangers
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

24.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheshunt's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheshunt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Cheshunt have a series of guest games.

Recently Concord have a series of home games.

Cheshunt will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheshunt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.03.24	Haringey Borough - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	0:3 ✺
28.02.24	Kingstonian - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Cheshunt	4:2 ✺
17.02.24	Cheshunt - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLL
- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.03.24	Chatham Town - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	0:3 ✺
27.02.24	Concord Rangers - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
20.02.24	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.03.24	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	0:3
English National League South
01.01.23	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	1:1
26.12.22	Cheshunt - Concord Rangers	4:2

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