Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	4.3 (4.3)	4.75 (4.75)

The best margin for this event is 12.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
60.7%

Draw
20.6%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

19.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chełmianka Chełm have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 6).

Chełmianka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lubaczów has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chełmianka is a strong favorite.

We predict that Chełmianka will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chełmianka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27
18	Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Stal Kraśnik	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWT
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:4 ✺
29.03.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Stal Kraśnik	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0
30.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:4
09.11.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	1:6

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