Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Boonyachinda Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Police Tero		Chiangmai United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.5
	2.04	3.07	3.45
	1.83	3.26	4.25	Watch
	2.05	3.28	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.78)	3.23 ↓ (3.58)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
46.8%

Draw
28.3%

Chiangmai United
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chiangmai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police Tero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Police Tero - Chiangmai United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Police Tero (2.31) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Police Tero (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Nait Merabet M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Police Tero have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chiangmai United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chiangmai United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Police Tero has had a series of away games.

Police Tero will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 2
14.09.25	Pattaya United - Police Tero	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Songkhla - Police Tero	3:0 ✺
27.08.25	Pattani - Police Tero	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Nakhon Si United - Police Tero	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Police Tero - Chanthaburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW
- Chiangmai United
Thai League 2
13.09.25	Chiangmai United - Sisaket United	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Phrae United - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Chiangmai United - Songkhla	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mahasarakham - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Chiangmai United - Kasetsart	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
12.02.25	Police Tero - Chiangmai United	3:0
05.10.24	Chiangmai United - Police Tero	2:1
Thai League 1
30.04.22	Chiangmai United - Police Tero	1:0
27.11.21	Police Tero - Chiangmai United	1:0

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