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Current Win Probability
Chiangmai United 41.9%
Draw 28.7%
Nakhon Pathom United 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
27.5%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangmai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Chiangmai United - Nakhon Pathom United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Chanphet T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', 🟥,
81', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chiangmai United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chiangmai United has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chiangmai United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Chiangmai United - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.