Match Info

Thai FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: 700th Anniversary Stadium (Chiang Mai)


	Chiangmai United		Prachuap

	1	X	2
	9.82	6.31	1.21	Watch
	4.04	4.04	1.71
	3.9	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (3.3)	4.6 ↑ (3.54)	1.57 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiangmai United
16.5%

Draw
21.3%

Prachuap
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

25.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiangmai United's form might have worsened.

Prachuap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prachuap's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiangmai United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prachuap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chiangmai United - Prachuap Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Mendez E. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Sanron I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
57', 0 - 3, Mendez E. ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, Thongnak A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, Sanron I. ⚽,
88', 1 - 5, Taua ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 6, Veerachart C. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 6, Moonkeaw S. ⚽,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Prachuap will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiangmai United
Thai League 2
25.10.25	Chiangmai United - Nakhon Si United	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chiangmai United - Chanthaburi	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Bangkok FC - Chiangmai United	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Chiangmai United - Chainat	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Police Tero - Chiangmai United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLW
- Prachuap FC
Thai League 1
25.10.25	Prachuap - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Rayong FC - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Prachuap - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Prachuap - Kanchanaburi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
25.02.22	Prachuap - Chiangmai United	2:1
16.10.21	Chiangmai United - Prachuap	0:1

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