Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 4h 29m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Southern League Premier South 🌤️ ...


	Chichester City		Hanworth Villa

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.35	2.45
	2.45	3.39	2.49
	2.49	3.64	2.54	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.40
	2.45	3.42	2.38
	2.65	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.33)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
36.6%

Draw
26.2%

Hanworth Villa
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hanworth Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanworth Villa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Chichester City - Hanworth Villa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Chichester has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Hanworth have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hanworth could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Chichester has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hanworth	13	7	3	3	25:15	10	24
6	Chichester	13	7	1	5	23:21	2	22

Last Results with these Odds

Chichester City - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Gosport Borough - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
20.10.26	Chichester City - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Bracknell Town - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
13.10.26	Sholing - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Chichester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWW
- Hanworth Villa
English Southern League South Division
20.10.26	Hanworth Villa - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanworth Villa	2:2 ✺
13.10.26	Bracknell Town - Hanworth Villa	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	Hanworth Villa - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leatherhead - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Chichester City	2:1

Chichester City - Hanworth Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide