Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday


	Chichester City		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.05	3.20	2.88
	2.48	3.22	2.65
	2.43	3.42	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.60
	2.32	3.20	2.64
	2.36	3.25	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
38.5%

Draw
27.9%

Berkhamsted
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Chichester City - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Lannin-Sweet J. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Chebby B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 3 - 0, Dunn E. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Busari B. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Berkhamsted could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Berkhamsted has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chichester holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Chichester	13	7	1	5	23:21	2	22
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15:17	-2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Chichester City - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 36.83%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Southern League South Division
17.10.26	Bracknell Town - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
13.10.26	Sholing - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Chichester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Chichester City - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLT
- Berkhamsted FC
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Southend United - Berkhamsted	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Redditch United - Berkhamsted	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Sholing - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Berkhamsted - Hanworth Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLL

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