Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hanworth Villa		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.50
	2.35	3.35	2.52
	2.34	3.48	2.66
	2.39	3.65	2.65	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.60
	2.33	3.38	2.52
	2.39	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	2.57 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanworth Villa
38.6%

Draw
26.2%

Gloucester City
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanworth Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanworth Villa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Hanworth Villa - Gloucester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanworth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Hanworth (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanworth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Hemmings A. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Harding M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Thomas K. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Emmett H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 19th in the Relegation).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Gloucester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hanworth	14	8	3	3	27:16	11	27
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Gloucester City - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanworth Villa
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leatherhead - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Berkhamsted - Hanworth Villa	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Gloucester City
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Mulbarton Wanderers - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Gloucester City - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Malvern Town - Gloucester City	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT

Hanworth Villa - Gloucester City