Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Chichester City		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.72	3.8	3.75
	1.66	4.04	4.21
	1.82	3.77	3.66	Watch
	1.79	3.84	3.99
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	3.72 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
51.1%

Draw
24.2%

Welling United
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chichester City's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chichester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welling United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chichester City - Welling United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chichester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Shakpoke R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Cundle G. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Chichester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Welling has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chichester might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Hashtag United - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Whitehawk - Chichester City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chichester City - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Chichester City - Bognor Regis Town	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Chichester City - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTLW
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Welling United - Lewes	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Welling United - Aveley	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Cheshunt - Welling United	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Welling United - Leyton Orient	0:10 ✺
08.07.25	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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