Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Welling United		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.52	3.3	2.42
	2.82	3.58	2.22
	2.55	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.52	3.4	2.38
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)	3.4 ↓ (3.69)	2.35 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
34.7%

Draw
26.7%

Carshalton Athletic
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

24.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Welling United - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Read L. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Ufuah J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Gunner D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Carshalton has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Welling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Welling: 14.94% Carshalton: 4.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Welling	10	8	0	2	20:9	11	24
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Chatham Town - Welling United	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Welling United - St Albans City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Welling United	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Welling United - Hashtag United	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Aveley - Welling United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Carshalton Athletic - Ramsgate	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hashtag United - Carshalton Athletic	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.09.25	Carshalton Athletic - Welling United	2:1

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