The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Welling United 56.3%
Draw 22.9%
Carshalton Athletic 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.8%
22.7%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
21.8%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Welling United - Carshalton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Welling has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carshalton has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Carshalton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Welling is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Welling has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Welling against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
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