Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Chieri		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.3
	2.85	2.95	2.38
	2.89	2.98	2.41
	2.97	3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieri
31.2%

Draw
30.8%

Folgore Caratese
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.4%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieri than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore Caratese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chieri - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chieri won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chieri won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Chieri 1955
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.04.21	Gozzano - Chieri	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Chieri - Imperia	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Lavagnese - Chieri	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Chieri - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Arconatese - Chieri	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTW
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
17.03.21	Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	PDHAE - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Folgore Caratese - Bra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
13.12.20	Folgore Caratese - Chieri	0:1
07.04.19	Folgore Caratese - Chieri	1:0
01.12.18	Chieri - Folgore Caratese	1:0
08.10.17	Folgore Caratese - Chieri	1:2
05.03.17	Chieri - Folgore Caratese	2:2
30.10.16	Folgore Caratese - Chieri	3:1

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