Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Caronnese		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	5.8	3.9	1.47
	3.76	3.17	1.91
	5.3	3.3	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.55)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	1.68 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
18.9%

Draw
26.4%

Folgore Caratese
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

21.8%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

21.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Caronnese - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 2.

Caronnese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Folgore Caratese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Caronnese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Lumezzane - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Caronnese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Caronnese - Varese	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Sona - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Caronnese - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Varese - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Arconatese	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Brusaporto - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Breno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.03.21	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	0:1
06.12.20	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	2:3
21.01.18	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	1:1
17.09.17	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	3:2
29.01.17	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	1:1
25.09.16	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	2:2

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