Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Chieri		Novara

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.15	2.9	2.2
	3.18	2.92	2.2
	3.4	2.79	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.29)	2.89 ↓ (2.96)	2.2 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieri
27.9%

Draw
31.2%

Novara
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

29.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

28.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chieri's performance.

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieri than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chieri - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Novara is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for

Chieri is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novara is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chieri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Chieri 1955
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.05.22	Lavagnese - Chieri	2:2 ✺
27.04.22	Chieri - Saluzzo	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Fossano - Chieri	1:2 ✺
14.04.22	Chieri - Casale	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	PDHAE - Chieri	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.05.22	Gozzano - Novara	0:0 ✺
27.04.22	Novara - Fossano	4:0 ✺
24.04.22	Lavagnese - Novara	0:4 ✺
14.04.22	Novara - PDHAE	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Saluzzo - Novara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
22.12.21	Novara - Chieri	4:2

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