Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Lavagnese		Novara

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.1	1.39
	6.31	3.59	1.4
	7.3	4.25	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (6.63)	3.98 ↑ (3.85)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
13.2%

Draw
22.5%

Novara
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

23.2%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

22.1%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Lavagnese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Novara is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lavagnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.04.22	Lavagnese - Fossano	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Derthona - Lavagnese	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Lavagnese - PDHAE	1:3 ✺
30.03.22	Saluzzo - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Lavagnese - Caronnese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLTL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.04.22	Novara - PDHAE	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Saluzzo - Novara	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Novara - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
30.03.22	Casale - Novara	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Novara - Unione Sanremo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
08.12.21	Novara - Lavagnese	1:0

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