Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)


	Chieti		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.18
	1.90	3.67	3.39	Watch
	3.14	3.13	2.17
	2.42	3.4	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (1.88)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	2.58 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieti
35.7%

Draw
28.1%

Atletico Ascoli
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chieti's form might have worsened.

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atletico Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chieti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chieti - Atletico Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Didio L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 0 - 2, Muro A. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Forgione C. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

Chieti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atletico Ascoli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atletico Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atletico Ascoli has had a series of away games.

Chieti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chieti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Termoli - Chieti	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Chieti - Ancona	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Notaresco - Chieti	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Chieti - L Aquila	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Teramo - Chieti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWTT
- Atletico Ascoli
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Ancona - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli	1:6 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Foligno - Atletico Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Atletico Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
06.04.25	Atletico Ascoli - Chieti	2:2
24.11.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	1:2
17.01.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:2
10.09.23	Atletico Ascoli - Chieti	0:0

Chieti - Atletico Ascoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide