Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Play Out - FinalDate: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)
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Chieti |
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Recanatese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
2.78 |
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 |
2.29 |
3.3 |
2.84 |
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2.18 |
3.2 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.27) |
3.25 ↓
(3.28) |
2.82 ↑
(2.81) |
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- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chieti
40.3% | Draw
27.8% | Recanatese
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-0.7%) 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 3.Chieti is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Recanatese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Chieti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Chieti has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Chieti won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Recanatese - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group F | | | 29.03.26 | Chieti - Recanatese | 2:1 | | 16.11.25 | Recanatese - Chieti | 2:0 | | 13.04.25 | Chieti - Recanatese | 3:1 | | 22.05.22 | Recanatese - Chieti | 1:1 | | 23.01.22 | Chieti - Recanatese | 1:0 | | 23.02.20 | Recanatese - Chieti | 3:2 | | 20.10.19 | Chieti - Recanatese | 1:2 |
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