Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 30Date: 2 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Nicola Tubaldi (Recanati)
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Recanatese |
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Vigor Senigallia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
3.15 |
2.32 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3.05 |
2.27 |
|
 |
2.77 |
3.19 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
 |
2.74 |
3.08 |
2.36 |
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2.72 |
3.13 |
2.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.75) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
2.34 ↓
(2.37) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Recanatese
33% | Draw
28.7% | Vigor Senigallia
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Recanatese - Vigor Senigallia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Pierfederici G. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 🟥,
- 83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 7).Recanatese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Vigor Senigallia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
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| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group F | | | 23.11.25 | Vigor Senigallia - Recanatese | 1:1 | | 23.03.25 | Recanatese - Vigor Senigallia | 1:0 | | 10.11.24 | Vigor Senigallia - Recanatese | 0:0 |
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