Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 14Date: 30 November 2025, SundayLocation: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Chievo |
|
Varesina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.65 |
4.95 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
|
 |
2.09 |
3.53 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
3.6 |
4.73 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.6 |
4.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.02) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
4.45 ↑
(2.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chievo
53.8% | Draw
25.6% | Varesina
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chievo's performance.Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varesina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varesina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Chievo - Varesina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chievo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chievo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).Chievo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Varesina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Chievo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Chievo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chievo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).Including home match between the teams, Chievo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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