Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vogherese		Chievo

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.35	1.72
	3.67	3.40	1.90	Watch
	4.44	3.35	1.73
	3.8	3.35	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.8)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vogherese
22.5%

Draw
27.1%

Chievo
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

27.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Vogherese - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, Steffe D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Vogherese have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chievo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chievo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chievo is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.11.25	Pavia - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vogherese - Leon	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vogherese - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vogherese - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTLW
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.11.25	Chievo - Brusaporto	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Villa Valle - Chievo	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Chievo - Real Calepina	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Sondrio - Chievo	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chievo - Oltrepo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWW

Vogherese - Chievo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Vogherese - Chievo Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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