Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Chievo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.2	3.19	1.98
	2.29	3.41	2.76	Watch
	3.29	3.25	2.04
	2.43	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.25)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.28 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
31.7%

Draw
28%

Chievo
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Valle's form might have worsened.

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Valle - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Villa Valle have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chievo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villa Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Valle - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.11.25	Pavia - Villa Valle	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Villa Valle - Leon	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vogherese - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Villa Valle - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Villa Valle - Varesina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWT
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie D - Group B
01.11.25	Chievo - Real Calepina	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Sondrio - Chievo	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chievo - Oltrepo	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Chievo - Rovato Vertovese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWL

Villa Valle - Chievo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide