Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 3

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Brigido Iriarte (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	SporTV
Chile	DirecTV Sports, TVN
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2, TV Ciudad
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Chile U20		Uruguay U20

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.6	1.61
	5.17	3.8	1.68
	5.35	3.83	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	5.13	3.84	1.69	Watch
	4.7	3.6	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.14)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chile U20
18.6%

Draw
25%

Uruguay U20
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.7%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

28.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chile U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Uruguay U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chile U20 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay U20 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Chile U20 - Uruguay U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: Uruguay U20 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saez I. (G) U. De Chile 13. Perez M. Curico Unido 4. Salazar Y. 5. Suarez N. 3. Roman I. Palestino 22. Hernandez L. Colo Colo 6. Pinto G. O Higgins 15. Carcamo J. Huachipato 20. Faundez F. O Higgins 18. Rossel J. (C) U. Catolica 9. Pizarro D. Udinese	1. Martinez K. (G) Danubio 6. Pacifico P. Defensor Sp. 4. Agazzi L. Defensor Sp. 5. Rodriguez J. Penarol 3. Calione P. Club Nacional 7. Lavega J. (C) Fluminense 8. Helguera T. Braga 17. Zalazar M. Schalke 18. Barbas G. Penarol 19. Crucci E. Wanderers 21. Severo A. Racing Montevideo
Substitutes
10. Arce A. 11. Chatiliez W. Huesca 1. Contreras M. (G) 23. Maureira G. (G) 17. Ramos Aviles E. M. Everton 19. Romero P. Cobreloa 16. Sanguinetti F. 8. Silva J. S. Wanderers 14. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. U. De Chile	11. Albarracin A. Boston River 12. Bonilla F. (G) Club Nacional 22. Calcagno B. Palencia CF 16. Cuello E. Defensor Sp. 13. Gonzalez F. Danubio 15. Montero A. 23. Ortiz Ferreira V. F. (G) Maldonado 14. Peralta M. Danubio 10. Petit G. Club Nacional 20. Pino L. Montevideo City 2. Ramos N. Club Nacional
Coaches
Cordova N.	Coito F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Pizarro D. 🟨,
41', Zalazar M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Barbas G. (A),
45+2', Carcamo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suarez N. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
60', Hernandez L. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
60', Ramos Aviles E. M. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Roman I. ⚽,
67', Crucci E. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
67', Zalazar M. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
67', Barbas G. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
81', Lavega J. ↓, Calcagno B. ↑,
82', Rossel J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
88', Faundez F. 🟨,
89', Carcamo J. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
90+1', Petit G. ↓, Pino L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chile U20 won 1.

Chile U20 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Uruguay U20 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uruguay U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Uruguay U20 is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chile U20 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chile U20
South American Championship U20
07.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Chile U20 - Argentina U20	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Chile U20 - Peru U20	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Uruguay U20
South American Championship U20
07.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Argentina U20	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Brazil U20	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Venezuela U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Peru U20	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Uruguay U20 - Paraguay U20	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
25.01.25	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:2
22.01.23	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	0:3
Friendly
16.12.22	Uruguay U20 - Chile U20	2:0
08.12.21	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:1
15.11.18	Chile U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0
02.06.16	Uruguay U20 - Chile U20	2:2
31.05.16	Uruguay U20 - Chile U20	3:0

Chile U20 - Uruguay U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide