Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 8

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Changzhou Olympic Sports Centre (Changzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, RTHK TV 31
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Seven, Shoof
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	China		Australia

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.53	Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.47
	6	4	1.55	Watch
	5.91	3.77	1.59	Watch
				Watch
	6	4.05	1.57	Watch
	6	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↓ (6.26)	4.04 ↓ (4.11)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 8

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Current Win Probability

China
15.7%

Draw
23.3%

Australia
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

22.6%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	10.5%	84.2%

China - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: Australia will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (G) Shandong Taishan 8. Yang Zexiang Shanghai Shenhua 2. Han Pengfei Chengdu Rongcheng 16. Jiang Shenglong Shanghai Shenhua 4. Li Lei Beijing Guoan 7. Xu Haoyang Shanghai Shenhua 18. Huang Zhengyu Shandong Taishan 20. Xie Wenneng Shandong Taishan 19. Cao Yongjing Beijing Guoan 9. Zhang Yuning Beijing Guoan 10. Wei Shihao Chengdu Rongcheng	1. Ryan M. (G) Lens 8. Geria J. Albirex Niigata 21. Burgess C. Ipswich 2. Degenek M. TSC Backa Topola 3. Miller L. Hibernian 17. Teague R. Melbourne Victory 22. Irvine J. St. Pauli 16. Behich A. Melbourne City 7. Velupillay N. Melbourne Victory 11. Borrello B. Western Sydney Wanderers 6. Boyle M. Hibernian
Substitutes
23. Abduweli Behram Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 15. Cheng Jin Zhejiang Professional 13. Hu H. Chengdu Rongcheng 12. Liu Dianzuo (G) Chengdu Rongcheng 6. Serginho Beijing Guoan 21. Wang Haijian Shanghai Shenhua 11. Wang Y. Zhejiang Professional 17. Wang Zhenao Shanghai Port 22. Wang Ziming Beijing Guoan 5. Wei Zhen Shanghai Port 3. Wu Shaocong Beijing Guoan 1. Yan Junling (G) Shanghai Port	10. Arzani D. Melbourne Victory 5. Caceres A. Sydney FC 14. Davidson J. Panserraikos 15. Duke M. Machida Zelvia 18. Glover T. (G) Middlesbrough 23. Goodwin C. Al Wehda 20. Grant R. Sydney FC 12. Izzo P. (G) Randers FC 19. Karacic F. Lok. Zagreb 13. O'Neill A. St. Liege 4. Rowles K. DC United 9. Trewin K. Melbourne City
Coaches
Ivankovic B.	Popovic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Xie Wenneng 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Irvine J. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Velupillay N. ⚽,
34', Cao Yongjing ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wei Shihao ↓, Serginho ↑,
67', Xie Wenneng ↓, Wang Y. ↑,
67', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
77', Teague R. ↓, O'Neill A. ↑,
77', Miller L. ↓, Karacic F. ↑,
82', Borrello B. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
82', Velupillay N. ↓, Caceres A. ↑,
87', Zhang Yuning ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
90+2', Boyle M. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,

Preview

In this match Australia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches China won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:12 (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Saudi Arabia - China	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	China - Japan	1:3 ✺
14.11.24	Bahrain - China	0:1 ✺
15.10.24	China - Indonesia	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Australia - China	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL
- Australia
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Australia - Indonesia	5:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bahrain - Australia	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Australia - Saudi Arabia	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
10.10.24	Australia - China	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Australia - China	3:1
16.11.21	China - Australia	1:1
02.09.21	Australia - China	3:0
Asian Cup
22.01.15	China - Australia	0:2
EAFF E-1
28.07.13	Australia - China	3:4

China - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide