Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Referee: Al Ali A. (Kuw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic


	Japan		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.6	7.5
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.37	4.66	9.64
	1.39	4.5	9.07	Watch
	1.37	4.95	8.4	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.24)	4.74 ↓ (5.66)	8.3 ↓ (11.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
68.7%

Draw
19.9%

Australia
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

16.6%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan's form might have worsened.

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Japan - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: Japan will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 4. Itakura K. B. Monchengladbach 3. Taniguchi S. St. Truiden 16. Machida K. Royale Union SG 10. Doan R. Freiburg 17. Tanaka A. Leeds 5. Morita H. (C) Sporting Lisbon 7. Mitoma K. Brighton 8. Minamino T. Monaco 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 9. Ueda A. Feyenoord	18. Gauci J. (G) Aston Villa 8. Geria J. Melbourne Victory 19. Souttar H. Sheffield Utd 21. Burgess C. Ipswich 3. Miller L. Hibernian 20. Brattan L. Macarthur FC 22. Irvine J. (C) St. Pauli 5. Bos J. Westerlo 14. McGree R. Middlesbrough 15. Duke M. Machida Zelvia 10. Hrustic A. Salernitana
Substitutes
6. Fujita J. St. Truiden 21. Hatate R. Celtic 14. Ito J. Reims 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace 11. Maeda D. Celtic 18. Mochizuki H. Machida Zelvia 13. Nakamura K. Reims 19. Ogawa K. Nijmegen 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22. Seko A. Grasshoppers 2. Sugawara Y. Southampton 23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia	13. Arzani D. Melbourne Victory 17. Baccus K. Mansfield 16. Behich A. Melbourne City 2. Deng T. Albirex Niigata 23. Goodwin C. Al Wehda 11. Irankunda N. Bayern 12. Izzo P. (G) Randers FC 4. Rowles K. Hearts 1. Ryan M. (G) AS Roma 9. Stamatelopoulos A. Motherwell 7. Velupillay N. Melbourne Victory 6. Yazbek P. Nashville SC
Coaches
Moriyasu H.	Popovic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Brattan L. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Taniguchi S. (Own goal),
62', Bos J. 🟨,
62', Doan R. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
70', Minamino T. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
70', Kubo T. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
73', Bos J. ↓, Behich A. ↑,
73', Duke M. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Burgess C. (Own goal),
80', Yazbek P. 🟨,
82', Miller L. ↓, Baccus K. ↑,
83', Ueda A. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
88', Hrustic A. ↓, Goodwin C. ↑,
89', Goodwin C. 🟨,
90+4', Burgess C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 4.

In this match Japan is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Japan to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Japan won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Saudi Arabia - Japan	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Bahrain - Japan	0:5 ✺
05.09.24	Japan - China	7:0 ✺
11.06.24	Japan - Syria	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Myanmar - Japan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Australia
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Australia - China	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	Indonesia - Australia	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Australia - Bahrain	0:1 ✺
11.06.24	Australia - Palestine	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Bangladesh - Australia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Australia - Japan	0:2
12.10.21	Japan - Australia	2:1
31.08.17	Japan - Australia	2:0
11.10.16	Australia - Japan	1:1
Friendly
18.11.14	Japan - Australia	2:1
EAFF E-1
25.07.13	Japan - Australia	3:2
FIFA World Cup
04.06.13	Japan - Australia	1:1

Japan - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide