Match Info

AFC Asian Cup U17 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 6


	China U17		Japan U17

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.65	1.55
	7	4.1	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↓ (7)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China U17
15.2%

Draw
23.4%

Japan U17
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

22.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

22.1%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China U17 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Japan U17 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for China U17 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan U17 than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Qin Ziniu (G) 2. Jin Yucheng 4. Li Junpeng 5. Zhang Xuyao Shandong Taishan 3. Nan Zixun 8. Kuang Zhaolei Qingdao Hainiu 6. Zhou Yunuo (C) 7. He Sifan 10. Wan Xiang 11. Shuai Weihao 15. Pan Chaowei	1. Oshita K. (G) 3. Motosuna A. (C) Kashima Antlers 22. Kurahashi Y. 4. Takeuchi Y. 7. Chonan K. Kashiwa Reysol 6. Iwatsuchi S. 8. Wada T. Urawa Reds 10. Kitahara M. FC Tokyo 16. Kimura K. 14. Satomi T. Vissel Kobe 11. Saito K.
Substitutes
18. Bian Weihao 12. Jiang Chengen (G) 21. Kong Xinuo 22. Liu Zhicheng Qingdao West Coast 19. Peng Xianchen Chongqing Tonglianglong 13. Wang Heyi 16. Wang Xiuhao 9. Xie Jin 17. Xu Zhengpeng 20. Zhang Bolin 14. Zhao Songyuan 23. Zhu Yuxuan (G)	13. Chimeziekai E. Cerezo Osaka 17. Fujimoto Y. Gamba Osaka 5. Hoshi S. 2. Iwashita Y. 12. Kida R. (G) 20. Kumada Y. Omiya Ardija 21. Okamoto A. 18. Shiraogawa R. Nagoya Grampus 23. Takahashi K. (G) 9. Takaki E. 19. Tatemi S. 15. Tsuneyoshi R. Nagoya Grampus
Coaches
Ukishima B.	Ono S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
31', 0 - 1, Satomi T. ⚽, Wada T. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Saito K. ⚽, Wada T. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Kitahara M. ⚽, Wada T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jin Yucheng ↓, Liu Zhicheng ↑,
46', Pan Chaowei ↓, Xu Zhengpeng ↑,
46', Kuang Zhaolei ↓, Zhao Songyuan ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Wan Xiang ⚽, Shuai Weihao (A),
60', Iwatsuchi S. 🟨,
66', Shuai Weihao ↓, Xie Jin ↑,
68', Kimura K. ↓, Chimeziekai E. ↑,
68', Chonan K. ↓, Hoshi S. ↑,
77', Motosuna A. 🟨,
78', Satomi T. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
78', Saito K. ↓, Takaki E. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Zhao Songyuan (Penalty Awarded),
89', Wan Xiang ↓, Zhang Bolin ↑,
90+3', Kitahara M. ↓, Okamoto A. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by China U17 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Japan U17 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Japan U17 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, China U17 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China U17
AFC Championship U17
19.05.26	China U17 - Australia U17	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Saudi Arabia U17 - China U17	1:3 ✺
12.05.26	China U17 - Qatar U17	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	China U17 - Japan U17	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Indonesia U17 - China U17	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLL
- Japan U17
AFC Championship U17
19.05.26	Japan U17 - Uzbekistan U17	2:1 penalties ✺
15.05.26	Japan U17 - Tajikistan U17	5:0 ✺
12.05.26	Japan U17 - Indonesia U17	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	China U17 - Japan U17	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Japan U17 - Qatar U17	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Championship U17
09.05.26	China U17 - Japan U17	1:2

China U17 - Japan U17: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide