Match Info

Asian Games Women - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa (Shizuoka) 🌤️ ...


	China W		South Korea W

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.50	1.80
	3.2	3.15	2.02
	3.58	3.54	2.02
	3.63	3.66	1.84
	3.3	3.45	2
	3.32	3.72	1.96
	3.15	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (12.5)	3.46 ↓ (6.02)	1.95 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China W
27%

Draw
26.4%

South Korea W
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.6%

15.9%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in China W's performance.

South Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Korea W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

China W - South Korea W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Xiao Z. (G) 3. Chen Qiaozhu Beijing Beikong 14. Qingtong Li Beijing Beikong 15. Wang Aifang Liaoning 5. Wu Haiyan (C) Wuhan Jiangda 18. Zhang Rui Shandong Sports Lottery 10. Wang Yanwen Dijon 20. Zhang Chengxue Sichuan 7. Wang Shuang Wuhan Jiangda 8. Yao W. Wuhan Jiangda 23. Shao Ziqin Jiangsu Suning	1. Kim Kyeong-Hee (G) Suwon FC 4. Noh J. Gyeongju 10. Ji So-Yun Suwon FC 11. Choe Yu-Ri Suwon FC 5. Ko Yoo-Jin (C) Incheon Red Angels 14. Jung Min-Young Ottawa Rapid FC 7. Son Hwa-Yeon Gangjin Swans 16. Jang Sel-Gi Gyeongju 22. Choo Hyo-Joo Incheon Red Angels 20. Kim Hye-Ri Suwon FC 18. Kim Min-Ji
Substitutes
16. Liu Jing Changchun Dazhong 22. Mengdi Z. Shaanxi Changan 1. Pan Hongyan (G) 4. Si Y. Beijing Beikong 21. Sun Fangxin Shandong Sports Lottery 9. Wurigumula Montpellier 17. Xie Zongmei 13. Ying Wang Western Sydney Wanderers 6. Yuan C. Guangdong Meizhou 2. Yu F. Beijing Beikong 19. Zhang Linyan Beijing Beikong 11. Zhou X. Liaoning	2. Han Da-In Suwon FC 13. Hyun S. Gyeongju 9. Jeong Da-Bin Stabaek 15. Jeong Yu-Jin Incheon Red Angels 23. Kang Chae-Rim Montreal Roses FC 19. Kang Tae-kyung Seoul WFC 21. Kim M. (G) Incheon Red Angels 3. Lee M. Hwacheon KSPO 6. Park Hye-Jeong Sejong Sportstoto 8. Park Ye-na 12. Ryu Ji-Soo (G) 17. Yoon Su-Jeong Suwon FC

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Noh J. ⚽, Choe Yu-Ri (A),
7', Wu Haiyan 🟨,
40', Zhang Rui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Aifang ↓, Wurigumula ↑,
55', Wurigumula 🟨,
60', Xiao Z. 🟨,
68', Choe Yu-Ri ↓, Hyun S. ↑,
68', Zhang Rui ↓, Liu Jing ↑,
79', Wurigumula ↓, Yuan C. ↑,
82', Choo Hyo-Joo ↓, Yoon Su-Jeong ↑,
82', Son Hwa-Yeon ↓, Lee M. ↑,
90+3', Hyun S. ↓, Jeong Yu-Jin ↑,
90+3', Jung Min-Young ↓, Han Da-In ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Bookmakers give the edge to South Korea for this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, China has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China W
Asian Games Football Women
29.09.26	North Korea W - China W	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	China W - Vietnam W	1:0 AET ✺
21.09.26	China W - Philippines W	5:1 ✺
17.09.26	Uzbekistan W - China W	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	China W - Hong Kong W	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWTW
- South Korea W
Asian Games Football Women
29.09.26	Japan W - South Korea W	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	South Korea W - Uzbekistan W	6:3 ✺
21.09.26	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Bangladesh W - South Korea W	0:6 ✺
14.09.26	South Korea W - Myanmar W	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

EAFF E-1 Women
09.07.25	South Korea W - China W	2:2
Olympic Games - Football Women
01.11.23	China W - South Korea W	1:1
EAFF E-1 Women
23.07.22	China W - South Korea W	1:1
Asian Cup Women
06.02.22	China W - South Korea W	3:2
Olympic Games - Football Women
13.04.21	China W - South Korea W	2:2 ET
08.04.21	South Korea W - China W	1:2
EAFF E-1 Women
10.12.19	South Korea W - China W	0:0

China W - South Korea W