Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.43	3.1	2.65
	2.49	3.25	2.55
	2.58	3.23	2.72
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.48	3.28	2.6
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.92)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	2.67 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
37.5%

Draw
28.4%

Dulwich Hamlet
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dulwich Hamlet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2.

Recent matches Chippenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dulwich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chippenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
13.09.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Chippenham Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
29.08.22	Taunton Town - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chippenham Town - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLW
- Dulwich Hamlet
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:1 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Tonbridge Angels - Dulwich Hamlet	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Eastbourne Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.04.22	Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0
14.08.21	Dulwich Hamlet - Chippenham Town	1:1
17.10.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chippenham Town	0:2
18.01.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chippenham Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
26.11.19	Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2
23.11.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Chippenham Town	2:2
English National League South
28.09.19	Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2

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