Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.78	3.75	3.75
	1.77	4.09	3.68
	1.78	4.1	3.68
	1.83	3.75	3.2
	1.74	3.75	3.84
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
51%

Draw
23.8%

Margate
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dulwich Hamlet's performance.

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Margate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dulwich Hamlet - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dulwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Margate have a series of home games.

Dulwich will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.23	Haringey Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Dulwich Hamlet	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Whitehawk - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLWTW
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.11.23	Margate - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Margate - Lewes	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Margate - Hastings United	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Margate - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
17.10.23	Margate - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.09.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.04.18	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	1:1
13.01.18	Margate - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0
English FA Trophy
28.11.15	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.05.15	Margate - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1
17.01.15	Margate - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2
02.09.14	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:1

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