Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Chippenham Town		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.71	3.65	4.2
	1.68	3.65	4.1
	1.68	3.86	4.3
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.68	3.92	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	3.7 ↓ (4.6)	4.23 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
53.9%

Draw
24.6%

Hendon
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hendon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Chippenham Town - Hendon Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chippenham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hendon will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hendon: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hendon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chippenham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Hendon - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
27.09.22	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Chippenham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Hendon
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Hendon - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.22	Hendon - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Winchester City - Hendon	1:1 ✺
20.09.22	Harrow Borough - Hendon	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Hendon - Metropolitan Police	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
15.10.22	Hendon - Chippenham Town	2:2
10.10.18	Chippenham Town - Hendon	4:1

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