Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	St Albans City		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	1.95	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2	3.51	3.53
	2.02	3.53	3.5
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	1.98	3.46	3.48
	1.95	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.47)	3.46 ↑ (3.23)	3.37 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
46.1%

Draw
26.6%

Chippenham Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chippenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chippenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Parsons H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Parsons H. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

St Albans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches St Albans won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:21 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	St Albans City - Basford United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	Slough Town - St Albans City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTTWT
- Chippenham Town
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:4 ✺
26.10.24	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.04.24	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	0:1
21.10.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:2
01.04.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1
08.10.22	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1
25.01.22	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	3:1
04.09.21	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1
31.10.20	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	3:0

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