Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Chitipa United		Mitundu Baptist

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.75	2.90
	2.45	2.68	2.95
	2.4	2.57	3.26
	2.46	2.65	3.24	Watch
	2.35	2.5	3.2
	2.53	2.96	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)	3.07 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chitipa United
37.1%

Draw
33.6%

Mitundu Baptist
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

34.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chitipa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Mitundu Baptist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chitipa United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chitipa United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitundu Baptist than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitundu Baptist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Ngese P. O. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

Chitipa United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mitundu Baptist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chitipa United	15	6	3	6	11:16	-5	21
9	Mitundu Baptist	15	5	5	5	12:13	-1	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chitipa United
Malawi Premier Division
25.07.26	Chitipa United - Ekhaya	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Dedza Dynamos - Chitipa United	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Chitipa United - Silver Strikers	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Chitipa United - Kamuzu Barracks	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Red Lions - Chitipa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTWL
- Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Premier Division
26.07.26	Mitundu Baptist - Silver Strikers	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	CRECK Sporting - Mitundu Baptist	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mitundu Baptist - Ekhaya	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Mitundu Baptist - Blue Eagles	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Moyale Barracks - Mitundu Baptist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTWL

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