The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 63%
Draw 21.2%
Club León 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
20.5%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
19%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Club León Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 5. Ferral C. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 16. Gonzalez E. 8. Jaramillo C. 21. Lopez S. 30. Salazar E. 9. Valenzuela G.
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 27. Aleman I. 34. Aleman V. 14. Camargo A. 18. Carter T. 22. Cortes S. 10. Lemos S. 12. Lien Le C. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 6. Razo V.
Substitutes
34. Aguirre Z. (G) 14. De La Rosa J. 19. Delgado D. 15. Esquivias I. 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 4. Guzman K. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 25. Montoya J. 76. Urbano M.
33. Barrientos Y. 8. Bravo L. R. 20. Garcia L. 2. Garcia M. 5. Gutierrez D. 29. Jasso K. 4. Lozada A. 35. Mendoza A. (G) 26. Ramirez A. 15. Soto K.
Coaches
Contreras A.
Corona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Ferral C. ⚽,
23', Carter T. ↓, Soto K. ↑,
24', 2 - 0, Jaramillo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Razo V. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
59', Salazar E. ↓, De La Rosa J. ↑,
63', Aleman I. ↓, Bravo L. R. ↑,
63', Lien Le C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Lemos S. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 3 - 1, Lopez S. ⚽,
72', Jaramillo C. ↓, Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↑,
72', Castro D. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
73', Pinilla F. 🟨,
79', Franco Y. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
79', Cervantes A. ↓, Urbano M. ↑,
82', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
83', Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4.
Guadalajara is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
León has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
León may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Guadalajara is the clear favorite.
We predict that Guadalajara will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 40:15. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.6:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
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Felix Castro B. M. (C) 
Carter T. 
Lemos S. 
Lien Le C. 
Pinilla F. 
Bravo L. R. 
Gutierrez D. 
Contreras A. 
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