Date: 30 October 2026, Friday โฑ๏ธ In 1d 22h๐ Remind Me
Toluca
Chivas Guadalajara
1
X
2
1.88
3.65
3.15
1.93
3.8
3.24
1.91
3.8
3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.91 ↑ (1.84)
3.75 (3.75)
3.2 ↓ (3.3)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toluca 47.5%
Draw 24.2%
Chivas Guadalajara 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
24%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
24.3%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs).
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs ).
Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
Toluca has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalajara is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Toluca is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toluca has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:38 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toluca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 8:21 goals (averaging 0.8:2.1 per game).
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