The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 29%
Draw 25.6%
Chivas Guadalajara 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.4%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Solis O. (G) 23. Gutierrez I. 4. Sanchez T. 3. Ruth H. 11. Mendoza D. 14. Leon M. 9. Martinez A. 18. Cruz B. 5. Frias A. 20. Ceren B. 13. Garcia D. (C)
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 3. Godinez D. 4. Colin N. 5. Ferral C. 17. Villarreal N. 23. Casarez J. A. 14. Mauleon M. 16. Gonzalez E. 25. Montoya J. 24. Cervantes A. 22. Castro D.
Substitutes
7. Angeles L. 28. Garcia A. 29. Kanu U. 2. Miranda V. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 6. Rodriguez L. 52. Suarez Alonso V. 26. Torres A. 19. Valdez V. 1. Villeda M. (G)
19. Alvarado V. 77. Cordulack E. 1. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 10. Iturbide A. 8. Jaramillo C. 21. Lopez S. 13. Pelayo M. 2. Rodriguez J. 30. Salazar E.
Coaches
Gutierrez R.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Castro D. ⚽,
27', Leon M. 🟨,
42', Gutierrez I. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montoya J. ↓, Jaramillo C. ↑,
67', Cruz B. ↓, Kanu U. ↑,
71', Casarez J. A. 🟨,
73', Castro D. ↓, Pelayo M. ↑,
74', Ceren B. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
74', Garcia D. ↓, Montano Osuna M. C. ↑,
87', Cervantes A. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
87', Casarez J. A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
90+4', Villarreal N. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guadalajara holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul has recorded 0 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:30 (averaging 0.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:14 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).