Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Perez Borja P. E. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Tubi TV
Usa	NBC Universo


	Chivas Guadalajara		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.4	3.35	1.92
	3.5	3.58	2
	2.85	3.38	2.33	Watch
	3.5	3.48	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.73)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
27.2%

Draw
26.8%

Tigres UANL
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.2%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 14. De La Rosa J. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 4. Guzman K. 8. Jaramillo C. 7. Montero C. 9. Valenzuela G. 17. Villarreal N.	1. Santiago A. (G) 8. Delgado A. 17. Enciso S. 4. Espinoza G. 15. Ferral C. (C) 10. Hermoso J. 16. Kgatlana T. 6. Lopez J. 9. Mayor S. 12. Ordonez D. 7. Sanchez M.
Substitutes
19. Delgado D. 1. Espino C. (G) 15. Esquivias I. 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 18. Hernandez D. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 25. Montoya J. 30. Salazar E. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G.	43. Antonio A. 2. Colin N. 5. Elizondo M. 32. Farmer A. 19. Flores T. 23. Gonzalez I. (G) 31. Gonzalez M. 11. Jheniffer 21. Olivieri B. 22. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Contreras A.	Martinez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Ordonez D. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Hermoso J. ⚽,
26', Kgatlana T. 🟨,
37', 0 - 3, Hermoso J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Montero C. ⚽,
57', Sanchez M. 🟨,
63', Villarreal N. 🟨,
65', Sanchez M. ↓, Olivieri B. ↑,
65', Enciso S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Villarreal N. (Own goal),
74', Castro D. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
75', Ordonez D. ↓, Jheniffer ↑,
75', Mayor S. ↓, Farmer A. ↑,
82', Kgatlana T. ↓, Flores T. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Guzman K. ⚽,
85', Valenzuela G. ↓, Esquivias I. ↑,
85', Villarreal N. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
89', Farmer A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.

Guadalajara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tigres is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tigres will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
26.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL
- Tigres UANL Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
26.08.25	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:7 ✺
15.08.25	Tigres UANL - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
12.08.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Atlas - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
01.08.25	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
03.03.25	Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara	2:0
29.09.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	1:1
23.03.24	Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
05.08.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	2:2
28.04.23	Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
19.09.22	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	1:0
16.05.22	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	2:0

Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide