Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Ximena M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Atlas		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.20	1.43
	5.20	3.90	1.50
	6.74	4.72	1.42
	6.42	4.68	1.43	Watch
	6.20	4.45	1.45
	6.02	4.08	1.52
	5.80	4.30	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (5.2)	4.33 ↑ (3.9)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
15.4%

Draw
21.3%

Chivas Guadalajara
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

23%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

22.7%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras K. (G) 23. Penuna V. 3. Saravia L. 5. Delgado V. (C) 28. Quintos B. 7. Flores K. 6. Acevedo V. 13. Maldonado M. 26. Stephens S. 8. Huerta R. F. T. 29. Martinez A.	12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 4. Colin N. 5. Ferral C. 21. Lopez S. 8. Jaramillo C. 23. Casarez J. A. 14. Mauleon M. 16. Gonzalez E. 25. Montoya J. 24. Cervantes A. 22. Castro D.
Substitutes
27. Covarrubias D. (G) 22. Delgado F. 16. Hernandez A. 18. Lara A. 17. Lopez A. 19. Lopez K. 11. Munoz S. 15. Palacios M. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Vlassopoulos E.	19. Alvarado V. 69. Garcia M. 3. Godinez D. 1. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 10. Iturbide A. 13. Pelayo M. 77. Ramirez X. 2. Rodriguez J. 30. Salazar E. 76. Urbano M.
Coaches
Alfaro J.	Contreras A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Casarez J. A. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Castro D. ⚽, Mauleon M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Vlassopoulos E. ↑,
46', Acevedo V. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
56', Maldonado M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
64', Montoya J. ↓, Godinez D. ↑,
65', Saravia L. 🟨,
72', Flores K. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
72', Hernandez A. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Cervantes A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Castro D. ↓, Pelayo M. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Cervantes A. ⚽, Mauleon M. (A),
82', Mauleon M. ↓, Alvarado V. ↑,
82', Jaramillo C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
82', Casarez J. A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
90+2', Alvarado V. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
30.08.26	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	6:1 ✺
24.08.26	Atlas - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Toluca - Atlas	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Atlas - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWTTL
- Chivas Guadalajara Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
30.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
16.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	4:2
17.08.25	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2
23.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	2:0
11.10.24	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	1:5
31.03.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	1:1
19.10.23	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2
05.03.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	2:1

Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide