Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Choco		Estradense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.15	3.05	1.98
	3.31	3.19	2.02
	3.52	3.18	2.05
	3.2	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.43)	3.14 ↑ (2.88)	2.03 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choco
27.2%

Draw
28.5%

Estradense
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choco's form might have worsened.

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estradense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estradense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Choco - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Choco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estradense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estradense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.04.23	Arosa - Choco	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Choco - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Paiosaco - Choco	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Choco - Barco	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	RC Villalbes - Choco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.04.23	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Silva SD - Estradense	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Estradense - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Viveiro - Estradense	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Estradense - Rápido de Bouzas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.12.22	Estradense - Choco	1:0
09.04.22	Estradense - Choco	1:1
05.12.21	Choco - Estradense	2:4
16.02.20	Estradense - Choco	1:3

Choco - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide