Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Paiosaco		Choco

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.26	2.94	3.03
	2.32	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.28)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.01 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
39.6%

Draw
30.4%

Choco
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

29.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Paiosaco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Paiosaco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Choco has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.03.23	Atlético Arteixo - Paiosaco	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Paiosaco - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Gran Peña - Paiosaco	5:1 ✺
19.02.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Paiosaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWL
- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.03.23	Choco - Barco	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	RC Villalbes - Choco	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Choco - Somozas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	UD Ourense - Choco	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Choco - Alondras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.11.22	Choco - Paiosaco	1:3
27.10.19	Paiosaco - Choco	0:2
07.04.19	Paiosaco - Choco	2:1

Paiosaco - Choco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide