Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Choco		Barco

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.93
	3.65	2.7	1.97
	3.98	2.76	2.01
	4	3.14	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.5)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)	1.96 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choco
23.4%

Draw
30.9%

Barco
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choco's form might have worsened.

Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barco than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Choco - Barco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Choco won 1.

Choco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Choco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
04.03.23	RC Villalbes - Choco	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Choco - Somozas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	UD Ourense - Choco	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Choco - Alondras	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Choco - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.03.23	Barco - Atlético Arteixo	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Silva SD - Barco	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Barco - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Viveiro - Barco	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Barco - Rápido de Bouzas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.11.22	Barco - Choco	1:0
26.02.22	Barco - Choco	2:0
21.03.21	Barco - Choco	2:0
05.01.20	Choco - Barco	5:0
12.05.19	Barco - Choco	1:0
23.12.18	Choco - Barco	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	Barco - Choco	1:0

Choco - Barco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide