Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Choco		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.51
	4.75	3.4	1.55
	5.6	3.6	1.48
	5.97	4.01	1.44
	7	4.15	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.7)	3.75 ↓ (4.2)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choco
15.6%

Draw
23.9%

Polvorín
60.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polvorín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Choco - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Choco is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polvorín is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Polvorín is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.12.21	Noia - Choco	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Choco - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Rápido de Bouzas - Choco	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Choco - Estradense	2:4 ✺
28.11.21	Silva SD - Choco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.12.21	Viveiro - Polvorín	0:3 ✺
08.12.21	RC Villalbes - Polvorín	1:1 ✺
04.12.21	Polvorín - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Estradense - Polvorín	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Polvorín - Silva SD	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.10.21	Polvorín - Choco	2:2
02.02.20	Polvorín - Choco	1:1
10.03.19	Polvorín - Choco	1:1
14.10.18	Choco - Polvorín	3:1

Choco - Polvorín

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Choco - Polvorín Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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