Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Choco		Somozas

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.33	2.8	2.8
	2.49	2.86	2.79
	2.47	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.41)	2.84 ↑ (2.84)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choco
36.9%

Draw
31.5%

Somozas
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Choco - Somozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Choco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Somozas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Choco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.02.23	UD Ourense - Choco	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Choco - Alondras	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Choco - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Silva SD - Choco	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Choco - Gran Peña	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWL
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.02.23	Somozas - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Silva SD - Somozas	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Somozas - Gran Peña	0:3 ✺
29.01.23	Viveiro - Somozas	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Somozas - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.10.22	Somozas - Choco	2:0
13.03.22	Somozas - Choco	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Somozas - Choco	2:1

Choco - Somozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide