Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	UD Ourense		Choco

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.65	3.15	4.4
	1.6	3.22	4.61
	1.77	3.1	4.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	4.64 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
52.9%

Draw
28%

Choco
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Choco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

UD Ourense - Choco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.02.23	Atlético Arteixo - UD Ourense	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	UD Ourense - Silva SD	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	UD Ourense - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Rápido de Bouzas - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTT
- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.02.23	Choco - Alondras	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Choco - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Silva SD - Choco	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Choco - Gran Peña	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	Viveiro - Choco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.10.22	Choco - UD Ourense	2:1
01.05.19	UD Ourense - Choco	0:3
09.12.18	Choco - UD Ourense	2:2

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