The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chojniczanka Chojnice 44.4%
Draw 29.1%
KKS Kalisz 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
25.4%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
24.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chojniczanka Chojnice's form might have worsened.
KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chojniczanka Chojnice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
29. Primel D. (C) 2. Bakowicz M. 22. Bykov O. 9. Firlej M. 21. Golinski J. 10. Kaminski D. 79. Kozina M. 69. Michalik D. 66. Olejnik P. 8. Shibata S. 19. Tkocz M.
1. Krakowiak M. (G) 8. Andruszko M. 10. Danielak K. 35. Kieliba B. (C) 22. Kitowski N. 19. Paszkowski J. 16. Putno B. 5. Staszak J. 4. Wypych M. 37. Zawistowski N. 59. Zdybowicz P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Kozina M. ⚽,
12', 🟨,
37', Golinski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Putno B. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Putno B. ⚽,
60', Shibata S. ↓, Szczepanek B. ↑,
60', Kaminski D. ↓, Gutowski K. ↑,
60', Firlej M. ↓, Sabala V. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Bykov O. ⚽,
63', 3 - 2, Sabala V. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
70', Kozina M. ↓, Eizenchart B. ↑,
80', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chojniczanka won 2.
In recent matches, Chojniczanka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
KKS Kalisz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
KKS Kalisz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chojniczanka is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chojniczanka won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chojniczanka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Chojniczanka Chojnice - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Primel D. (C) 
Bykov O. 
Shibata S. 
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