Match Info

Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930 (Chojnice)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	2.85
	2.14	3.10	3.00
	2.21	3.40	3.14
	2.34	3.38	2.89	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.10
	2.19	3.54	3.03	Watch
	2.21	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
41.7%

Draw
27.7%

Stal Stalowa Wola
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Primel D. (G) 27. Adamczyk H. 2. Bakowicz M. 80. Mosek F. 34. Nowacki D. 20. Sabala V. (C) 44. Smolarczyk J. 9. Sobol H. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M. 3. Yukhymovych D.	33. Smylek M. (C) 44. Chrzanowski A. 43. Czerwik J. 3. Grabowski M. 10. Hebel M. 9. Jelen J. 21. Kwapisz S. 18. Nongo G. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P. 16. Zyra P.
Substitutes
88. Czerniewicz A. (G) 10. Famulak M. . Janicki K. 6. Mustafaev R. 97. Oleksiewicz J. 30. Sobeczko J. 8. Stypulkowski S. 33. Teclaw J. 31. Zywicki J.	1. Harcinski K. (G) 77. Kaminski D. . Kedziora H. 30. Rogalski A. . Saj J. 13. Solarz M. 17. Tomalski H. 19. Wolny D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Mosek F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nongo G. 🟨,
54', Chrzanowski A. 🟨,
58', Zyra P. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
58', Jelen J. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
66', Sobol H. ↓, Oleksiewicz J. ↑,
71', Mosek F. ↓, Mustafaev R. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Sabala V. ⚽,
85', Zaucha P. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
85', Nongo G. ↓, Solarz M. ↑,
85', Adamczyk H. ↓, Zywicki J. ↑,

Preview

Chojniczanka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stal Stalowa Wola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chojniczanka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chojniczanka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Chojniczanka: 2.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Chojniczanka	10	4	2	4	17:17	0	14
13	S. Wola	10	3	1	6	16:21	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Chojniczanka Chojnice - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2 - East
15.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
09.08.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Znicz Pruszków	1:4 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
16.08.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
31.07.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Legia II - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
18.04.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:3
05.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3
29.05.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
03.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
19.08.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	5:2

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