Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Cholet		Martigues

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.6	3.25	2	Watch
	4.24	3.15	2.08
	4.24	3.13	2.04
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.86	3.28	1.93	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.84)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
24.5%

Draw
29.2%

Martigues
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cholet's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martigues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cholet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Cholet - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ba O. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 23. Experience M. 8. Injai F. 15. Monzango N. 9. Mosset A. 6. Renaud T. 4. Seba D. 18. Seye B. 7. Sidibe M. 20. Thiam A.	30. Aymes J. (G) 26. Belloumou S. 5. Calvet R. 22. Djaha A. 6. Kembolo F. 18. Missi Mezu G. 24. Morante L. 14. Najim I. 12. Robin M. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui Y.
Substitutes
37. Bafounta K. 14. Cisse M. 30. Ingrand Y. (G) 11. Ouattara M. 35. Quarshie J.	11. Diawara A. 28. Kadir F. 29. Mendy O. 7. Orinel O. 3. Turkaj R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Cholet is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martigues is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martigues will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Coulaines - Cholet	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Sochaux - Cholet	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Cholet - GOAL FC	1:0 ✺
23.10.23	Red Star - Cholet	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Cholet - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- FC Martigues
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Velay - Martigues	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Martigues - Nancy	1:0 ✺
03.11.23	Villefranche - Martigues	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Martigues - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Avranches - Martigues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
27.01.23	Cholet - Martigues	2:0
19.08.22	Martigues - Cholet	2:1

Cholet - Martigues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide