Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Red Star		Cholet

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.32	5.22	9.33
	1.33	5.22	9.33
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.3	5	8.9	Watch
	1.31	4.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	4.93 ↑ (4.19)	8.72 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
70.7%

Draw
18.7%

Cholet
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

20.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Red Star - Cholet Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Anani A. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. (C) 4. Mendy B. 2. Meyapya B.	40. Ba O. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 23. Experience M. 17. Gameiro A. 8. Injai F. 26. Misiatu S. 15. Monzango N. 6. Renaud T. 25. Robinand J. 4. Seba D. 7. Sidibe M.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 23. Ikanga J. 25. Ndoye C.	18. Babou S. 37. Bafounta K. 14. Cisse M. 12. Jarju Y. 20. Thiam A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4.

Red Star in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cholet is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Red Star is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Red Star to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Red Star won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Red Star - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Red Star - Avranches	3:0 ✺
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWW
- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Cholet - Orleans	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Versailles - Cholet	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Cholet - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
22.09.23	Dijon - Cholet	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Cholet - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.05.23	Red Star - Cholet	1:2
06.01.23	Cholet - Red Star	1:4
11.03.22	Cholet - Red Star	0:1
01.10.21	Red Star - Cholet	4:2
17.04.21	Red Star - Cholet	3:0
28.11.20	Cholet - Red Star	0:2
22.11.19	Red Star - Cholet	2:1

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