Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.45
	2.46	3.68	2.7
	2.56	3.49	2.44	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.5
	2.54	3.55	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.14)	3.47 ↓ (3.71)	2.56 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
37.5%

Draw
26.5%

Muangthong United
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

24.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chonburi's form might have worsened.

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Chonburi - Muangthong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 2. Kike Linares 47. Jorge Fellipe 14. Tabinas J. 8. Burapha Y. 30. Biesamrit N. 88. Queven 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 17. Bolingi J. 99. van Lingen O.	33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 4. Tsonkov S. 28. Kim Dong-Su 27. Kempter M. 6. Strauss J. 14. Panthong S. 34. Khamyok K. 24. Ahannach A. 7. Willian Popp 8. Tasa K.
Substitutes
19. Arango E. 20. Bunta S. 11. Eisa A. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 9. Kraisorn A. 32. Moraksa R. 3. Rueangthanarot C. 4. Sansanit K. 37. Sayriya N. 31. Seaisakul P. 36. Sujarit T. 80. Tapsuvanavon C.	30. Anulun N. 16. Chaikultewin W. 35. Chansri T. 18. Danuphon B. 13. Falconer J. P. 1. Gremsl A. (G) 29. Kraikruan S. 22. Nuntagowat T. 45. Saric M. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 39. Seangsawat K. 17. Thodsanid P.
Coaches
Viwatchaichok R.	Borges J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Sansanit K. ↑,
31', Jorge Fellipe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ahannach A. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
59', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
64', Do T. 🟨,
78', Biesamrit N. ↓, Moraksa R. ↑,
79', van Lingen O. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
80', Tasa K. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
85', Tabinas J. 🟨,
86', Do T. ↓, Kraikruan S. ↑,
88', Burapha Y. 🟨,
90', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
90', Burapha Y. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
90+2', Kraikruan S. 🟨,
90+4', Bolingi J. 🟨,
90+5', Queven 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Chonburi has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:40. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chonburi	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Last Results with these Odds

Muangthong United - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
18.04.26	Prachuap - Chonburi	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
08.04.26	Chonburi - Thai Port	3:4 ✺
Thai League 1
05.04.26	Chonburi - Rayong FC	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chonburi - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Chonburi - Thap Luang United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
18.04.26	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Muangthong United - Chiangrai United	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Buriram United - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Muangthong United - Uthai Thani	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Prachuap - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
06.12.25	Muangthong United - Chonburi	2:3
18.05.24	Muangthong United - Chonburi	6:0
23.12.23	Chonburi - Muangthong United	2:1
19.02.23	Chonburi - Muangthong United	0:1
17.09.22	Muangthong United - Chonburi	1:5
09.01.22	Chonburi - Muangthong United	1:1
12.09.21	Muangthong United - Chonburi	3:3

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