Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 31

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 9


	Chonburi		Police Tero

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	8.25
	1.32	4.8	7.4
	1.33	4.83	7.68
	1.2	6	9
	1.34	4.6	7.27
	1.32	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)	5.13 ↑ (3.95)	7.83 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
70.6%

Draw
17.8%

Police Tero
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

21%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chonburi's performance.

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Chonburi - Police Tero Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chonburi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Awad A. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Derley ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Zogbe A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 3 - 1, Derley (Pen),
75', 4 - 1, Vander Luis ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, Fernando Viana (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chonburi won 4.

Chonburi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Police Tero is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chonburi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chonburi is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Chonburi won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 44:21 (average 2.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Chonburi won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:11 (average 2.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 2
30.03.25	Trat - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Chonburi - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Chainat - Chonburi	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Chonburi - Kasetsart	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Chonburi - Sisaket United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Police Tero
Thai League 2
29.03.25	Police Tero - Mahasarakham	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Sisaket United - Police Tero	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Police Tero - Bangkok FC	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Lampang - Police Tero	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Police Tero - Phrae United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
07.12.24	Police Tero - Chonburi	0:2
Thai League 1
14.02.24	Chonburi - Police Tero	4:2
26.08.23	Police Tero - Chonburi	3:2
22.01.23	Chonburi - Police Tero	5:3
20.08.22	Police Tero - Chonburi	0:2
13.02.22	Chonburi - Police Tero	1:2
05.10.21	Police Tero - Chonburi	2:0

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