Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 6

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.83	3.3	4	Watch
	1.86	3.37	4.75
	1.79	3.37	4.75
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.89	3.29	4.05
	1.83	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)	4.19 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
50.1%

Draw
27.9%

Guangzhou Evergrande
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 19. Gong Y. 4. Yen Yaki 22. Andrejevic A. 31. Zhao Hejing 7. Xiang Yuwang 14. Huang Xiyang 8. Li Zhenquan 17. Wang Shiqin 10. Tabekou S. 28. Sun Xipeng	32. Huo S. (G) 3. Liu Langzhou 8. Sadauskas R. 2. Wang Wenxuan 28. Penaloza J. 18. Liao Jintao 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 14. Wu Yongqiang 29. Zhang Dachi 19. Wu Junjie
Substitutes
33. Cheng Yetong 13. Chen Kerui 6. Chen Y. 20. Hu J. 24. Liu Mingshi 3. Luo Andong 21. Song Pan 1. Sun Q. (G) 2. Tash Mustapa 15. Tong Zhicheng 16. Wang Weicheng 11. Wu Qing	11. Aniwar Abduwahap 1. Askhan (G) 30. Bai Yutao 4. Chen Quanjiang 22. Li Jiahao 26. Li Xingxian 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 5. Wang Shilong 23. Yang Dejiang 12. Yasin Islam
Coaches
Yu Yuanwei	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Wu Yongqiang 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Tabekou S. ⚽, Wang Shiqin (A),
40', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Wang Wenxuan ↓, Wang Shilong ↑,
54', Zhang Dachi ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
65', Sun Xipeng 🟨,
65', Sun Xipeng ↓, Song Pan ↑,
66', Hou Yu ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
67', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Qurban Weli ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Aniwar Abduwahap ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
81', Gong Y. ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
84', Penaloza J. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Zhao Hejing ⚽, Huang Xiyang (A),
85', Wu Junjie ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
88', Liu Langzhou 🟨,
90+2', Huang Xiyang ↓, Hu J. ↑,
90+3', Wang Shiqin ↓, Luo Andong ↑,
90+9', Luo Andong 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of home games.

Chongqing Tongliang Long will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
05.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Jiangxi Lushan	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLTW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
05.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yunnan Yukun	0:5 ✺
25.03.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWL

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