Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.03	4.6
	1.45	3.89	6.83	Watch
	1.79	3.02	4.8
	1.59	3.48	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)	3.36 ↓ (3.89)	5.43 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
55.6%

Draw
27.4%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chornomorets Odesa's form might have worsened.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Chornomorets Odesa - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 24. Jarju M. 34. Khacheridi Y. 10. Kulach V. 13. Osman O. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O.	77. Pidkivka R. (G) 35. Bogoslavskyi A. 19. Kozak B. 28. Len O. 17. Slyva R. 33. Sydorenko D. 20. Syomka A. 8. Teplyi V. 21. Tolochko R. (C) 9. Voytikhovskiy M. 3. Zin A.
Substitutes
19. Kogut M. 42. Kozyr S. 4. Kratov M. 18. Robakidze G. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 20. Sergeevich N. 27. Sukhar T. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 3. Yermakov V. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	4. Basovskyi D. 97. Bogomaz N. 71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 10. Kuzmyn R. 27. Nyzhnyk A. 5. Palyukh S. 6. Pavlyuk K. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 93. Shmygelskiy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Zin A. 🟨,
41', Sklyar O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Gerych V. ⚽,
71', Kulach V. ↓, Kogut M. ↑,
71', Hernandez L. ↓, Yermakov V. ↑,
74', Syomka A. ↓, Bogomaz N. ↑,
74', Teplyi V. ↓, Kuzmyn R. ↑,
78', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Chornomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chornomorets is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Chornomorets will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chornomorets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	UCSA - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Cup
23.09.25	Denhoff Denykhivka - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Nyva Ternopil - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.05.21	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
07.08.20	Chornomorets Odesa - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1
19.10.19	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0

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