Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.16	6.35	Watch
	1.18	5.7	12.6
	1.32	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	4.79 ↑ (3.7)	9.12 ↑ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
70.5%

Draw
19.3%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

24.6%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

23%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chornomorets Odesa's performance.

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 24. Jarju M. 9. Khoblenko O. 13. Osman O. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 6. Sklyar O. 39. Skyba Y. 27. Sukhar T.	1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 7. Irodovskyi D. 27. Klymenko V. 25. Misanov M. 9. Nekhtiy V. (C) 16. Pasternak N. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 30. Tovkach A. 17. Yurechko I.
Substitutes
34. Khacheridi Y. 19. Kogut M. 42. Kozyr S. 4. Kratov M. 10. Kulach V. 95. Lopyryonok M. 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 3. Yermakov V. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	99. Bilyaev K. 18. Bliznichenko A. 19. Borysenko V. 33. Klimov G. (G) 23. Slyusar D. 22. Tuzenko D. 10. Zelinskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', Hernandez L. ↓, Kulach V. ↑,
60', Gerych V. ↓, Kogut M. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Khoblenko O. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Khoblenko O. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Khoblenko O. ⚽,
75', Nekhtiy V. ↓, Zelinskyi D. ↑,
75', Pasternak N. ↓, Borysenko V. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 3.

Chornomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metalurh Z is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chornomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chornomorets is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Chornomorets will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chornomorets won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	UCSA - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTW
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Nyva Ternopil - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
26.07.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LWTL?

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.08.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	1:4
26.10.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.15	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	5:2
15.05.15	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0
01.11.14	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0
06.04.14	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0
13.09.13	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1

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